By Guy Edwards
During the COP17 I caught up with Dr. Fernando Tudela Abad, one of Mexico’s foremost climate change experts and a high ranking official of the Mexican delegation. Dr. Tudela is Under Secretary of Environmental Policy and Planning at the Ministry of the Environment and Natural Resource and also chairs the expert group of the OECD on climate change.
Dr. Tudela explained how Mexico’s active involvement in the climate negotiations is based on national concerns of the country’s considerable vulnerability to climate-related disasters. In2010 Mexico’s Foreign Secretary, Patricia Espinoza, remarked before the COP16, ‘we estimate that 15 per cent of our national territory, 68 per cent of our population and 71 per cent of our GDP is highly exposed to the impacts of climate change.’
Last year Mexico faced its worst drought in 70 years with the lack of rainfall affecting almost 70 percent of the country. Entire crops covering tens of thousands of acres were lost and over 400,000 cattle perished in arid pastures.
As the first heavily-populated oil-exporting country to ratify the Kyoto Protocol, Mexico has a long history in the international climate change negotiations and strongly emphasizes the importance of multilateralism. The country’s efforts at the COP16 in Cancun, which successfully resuscitated the UNFCCC process following the bungled COP15 in Copenhagen, are generally recognized as a diplomatic triumph.
Dr. Tudela also commented that Mexico views climate change as an incentive to advance sustainability. This shift in thinking towards a low carbon resilient economy is partially based on the study, The Economics of Climate Change in Mexico, which states that climate change has and will continue to have significant impacts on the Mexican economy. The study details impacts on a variety of sectors including agriculture, tourism, infrastructure and public health.
The report states that the total costs of climate change by the year 2100, are the equivalent of around 6.2% of GDP, excluding livestock production, extreme weather events, sea level rise and nonmarket costs in terms of biodiversity and human lives. The cost of mitigating emissions by 50% by the year 2100, relative to 2002, are between 0.7% and 2.2% of GDP making a very strong case on why inaction could prove so costly.
Dr. Tudela also highlighted the importance of every country doing its best to work towards securing a successful outcome at the UNFCCC talks, while also being ambitious at the national level. Even though Mexico’s developing country status precludes it from legal commitments under the Kyoto Protocol, its Special Program on Climate 2009-2012 sets out an aspirational target to reduce national GHG emissions 50% by 2050 with year 2000 emissions as the baseline. However, the Program states that this target will only be met if developed countries provide unprecedented levels of financial and technological support under a multilateral regime.
Mexico’s desire to be a leader in green growth saw the Ministry of the Environment and Natural Resources sign a cooperation agreement in September 2011 with the UNEP, which will assist in creating and operating a new Mexican Center for Sustainable Development. The Center will aim to become a regional hub for Latin America, fostering cooperation on low-carbon growth and green economy issues.
In the chaotic corridors and meeting rooms of the COP17, Dr. Tudela’s thoughtful and softly spoken comments are emblematic of a country quietly ‘getting on with it’. As we wrapped up the interview it seemed more likely that the overall goals of the UNFCCC could be met if more countries like Mexico brought positive experiences and a pragmatic attitude to the table.
Cross-posted from intercambioclimatico.com